The Africa File by Critical Threats 1/4/2023

 Source: Critical Threats 




 
 
The Africa File is an analysis and assessment of the Salafi-jihadi movement in Africa and related security and political dynamics.
 
 
AFRICA FILE: ISLAMIC STATE AFFILIATE ATTEMPTS TO ASSASSINATE NIGERIAN PRESIDENT
 
January 4, 2023
 
 
Key Takeaway: The Islamic State’s West Africa Province (ISWAP) likely attempted to assassinate the Nigerian president. The group claimed responsibility for a December 29 vehicle-borne improvised explosive device (VBIED) in central Nigeria. This attack marks ISWAP’s first documented attempt to assassinate Nigeria’s head of state and its first VBIED detonation outside of northeastern Nigeria. These inflections continue an expansion of ISWAP activity in central Nigeria, including its first attacks in the Federal Capital Territory in 2022. ISWAP poses a growing threat to central Nigeria and the country’s capital, Abuja, and will likely continue to escalate operations in early 2023—which could include pursuing international targets in Abuja and attempting to destabilize the country as the February 2023 general elections approach.
 
 
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