ARAC International Curated Global Security Headlines for 6/14/2022




The D Brief
June 13, 2022

After a weekend of nationwide protests demanding U.S. lawmakers pass new gun-control legislation, senators announced Sunday that they've reached a deal to pass new, incremental changes that the president said "reflects important steps in the right direction," but "does not do everything that I think is needed." 

What the bill promises to do: Provide "major funding to help states pass and implement crisis intervention orders (red flag laws) that will allow law enforcement to temporarily take dangerous weapons away from people who pose a danger to others or themselves," said Sen. Chris Murphy, D.-Conn., who helped spearhead the bipartisan effort. 

It would also set aside "billions in new funding for mental health and school safety, including money for the national build out of community mental health clinics," he said. And it aims to make sure that "no domestic abuser—a spouse OR a serious dating partner—can buy a gun if they are convicted of abuse against their partner," Murphy tweeted Sunday. 

It doesn't raise any buying ages to 21, but it does demand an "enhanced background check" for anyone purchasing a weapon under the age of 21, and it calls for a "short pause" in buying while going through that background investigation—referred to as an "enhanced review" that consults "state databases and local law enforcement." The new bill doesn't meet all of protesters' or Democratic lawmakers' demands, of course. "But it's real, meaningful progress," Murphy said. "And it breaks a 30 year log jam, demonstrating that Democrats and Republicans can work together in a way that truly saves lives."

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Notably, the current legislation has the support of 10 Republican senators, all of whom signed a letter endorsing the bill Sunday—along with nine Democrats and one Independent. That could give it just enough support to pass the upper chamber. Those signatories include: 

  • Roy Blunt (R-Mo.); 
  • Richard Burr (R-N.C.); 
  • Bill Cassidy (R-La.); 
  • Susan Collins (R-Maine);
  • John Cornyn (R-Texas);
  • Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.);
  • Rob Portman (R-Ohio);
  • Mitt Romney (R-Utah);
  • Thom Tillis (R-N.C.); 
  • Pat Toomey (R-Pa.)
  • Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.);
  • Cory Booker (D- N.J.); 
  • Chris Coons (D-Del.);
  • Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.);
  • Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.);
  • Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.);
  • Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.);
  • Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.);
  • And Angus King (I-Maine).

"The sooner it comes to my desk, the sooner I can sign it, and the sooner we can use these measures to save lives," President Joe Biden said in a statement Sunday. Reuters has more, here.

Related reading: 

 
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Defense One Radio, Ep. 103: Three perspectives on Ukraine's future // Ben Watson: We hear from three people whose lives have become bound up with Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Defense Business Brief // Marcus Weisgerber: Defense Business Brief: Major weapon projects face delays; Trump Air Force One paint job ditched; Hints about next-gen fighter builder; and more.

Why Biden Just Declared Heat Pumps and Solar Panels Essential to National Defense // Daniel Cohan, The Conversation: An environmental engineering professor assesses their place in fighting the climate crisis.

How Much Does Bad Software Cost DOD? Lawmakers Want to Know // Lauren C. Williams: The House Armed Services Committee's version of the defense authorization act is getting a provision asking the Pentagon to account for wasted money and lost productivity caused by poorly performing software.

Welcome to this Monday edition of The D Brief, brought to you by Ben Watson with Jennifer Hlad. If you're not already subscribed to The D Brief, you can do that here. And check out other Defense One newsletters hereOn this day in 1997, Army veteran and white supremacist Timothy McVeigh was sentenced to death for carrying out the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing, killing 168 people and wounding nearly 700 others.

It's Day 1 of Defense One's Tech Summit, so take a sec to register before it begins at 1 p.m. with a keynote interview with Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks. Today also includes a panel about lessons learned from Ukraine about the future of open source intelligence, moderated by one of your D Brief-ers.
Find the full agenda here; and we look forward to you joining us for at least a few of our five days of discussions! 

Ukraine latest: There might be a lot more river crossing attempts coming up soon, the British military warns in its latest assessment of Russia's Ukraine invasion on its 110th day. That's because "The key, 90km long central sector of Russia's frontline in the Donbas lies to the west of the Siverskyy Donets River," the Brits report. "To achieve success in the current operational phase of its Donbas offensive, Russia is either going to have to complete ambitious flanking actions, or conduct assault river crossings." And that would all seem to suggest that, "Over the coming months, river crossing operations are likely to be amongst the most important determining factors in the course of the war."
Rewind: Russia's military suffered several failed attempted crossings back in May, as several outlets covered shortly after imagery of the devastation surfaced on social media. It's unclear, however, if Ukraine has the weapons and manpower to halt what might lie ahead, if the British military is correct.
But Russia, too, continues to struggle with manpower issues, according to the Institute for the Study of War, writing Sunday evening off information from British intelligence. But that hasn't kept Russian forces from blowing up bridges linking Severodonetsk to Lysychansk across that fateful Siverskyy Donets River. These bridges were blown "in a likely attempt to cut Ukrainian ground lines of communication that run from Bakhmut to Lysychansk and Severodonetsk," ISW writes.
Meanwhile, China just leapfrogged Germany to become Russia's top energy importer since the invasion began in late February, the Associated Press reports from Berlin, citing new data from the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air.
The largest importers included: China (with €12.6 billion); Germany (€12.1 billion); Italy (€7.8 billion); the Netherlands (€7.8 billion); Turkey (€6.7 billion); Poland (€4.4 billion); France (€4.3 billion); and then India (€3.4 billion).
The biggest reductions in Russian energy came from Poland—which, along with the U.S., "made the largest dents in Russia's revenue," the report's authors write. After those two, Turkey, Spain, Italy, and Japan most sharply cut their Russian energy imports since the invasion began. But, "In relative terms, the most decisive countries in cutting Russian energy imports were the United States (-100%), Sweden (-99%), Lithuania (-77%), Egypt, Spain, Finland, Poland, Estonia, and Japan." Read the full report (PDF), here.
Recommended reading: 

Monkeypox has come to the U.S. military, with an American service member diagnosed with the West African variant in Stuttgart, Germany, Stars and Stripes reported late last week. The service member "was seen and treated at the Stuttgart Army Health clinic," the clinic posted on its Facebook page Friday.
The patient is now in isolation at an on-base residence, where a spokesman for U.S. European command said "the risk to the public is very low," Stripes' Jennifer Svan writes. 

This weekend in Idaho, more than two-dozen out-of-town, far-right extremists crammed into one vehicle with plans to riot. They were with the white supremacist group, Patriot Front; and they "dressed like a small army" as they tried to carry out a seven-page tactical plan at a Pride event in the city of Coeur d'Alene, according to the New York Times
Police arrested 31 members packed inside a U-Haul van, which was tipped off to cops by a concerned citizen who spotted elements of the "small" army hopping in at an intersection. Authorities confiscated shields and shin guards, as well as at least one smoke grenade.
They had come from all across the country, including Texas, Utah, Colorado, South Dakota, Illinois, Wyoming, Washington, Oregon, and Virginia, according to police. Each now faces misdemeanor charges of "conspiracy to riot." More at the Timeshere; or at Reuters, here.

And lastly: Non-deployed U.S. Navy aviation units are observing a "safety pause" today, after at least three crashes in less than two weeks. Deployed forces will observe the pause "at the earliest possible opportunity," the Navy announced Saturday.
The break should be used to "review risk-management practices and conduct training on threat and error-management processes," according to the statement from Naval Air Forces. Tiny bit more to that one, here.


The CSIS Africa Program is committed to charting new directions for U.S.-Africa policy, providing forward-thinking analysis that spurs new insights and policy recommendations for the region.

 

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The Africa Program conducts sustained, timely research on the major elements of U.S. policy towards Africa.

 

FEATURED COMMENTARY

Localizing Humanitarian Action in Africa

May 27, 2022

The conversation on localization in Africa cannot be limited to the African continent; it must occur in donor capitals, with African voices leading the dialogue. To achieve sustainable localization, the U.S. and African policy landscapes should resolve bureaucratic obstacles and shift an exclusionary aid paradigm to one that is inclusive and builds on existing successes. Africa Program director Mvemba Phezo Dizolele and CSIS Humanitarian Agenda's Jacob Kurtzer and Hareem Fatima Abdullah explore the factors and dynamics impacting localization efforts in Africa, and offer recommendations to ensure effective and sustainable localization.

Read the interactive report

Photo: -/AFP/Getty Images

The U.S. Toolkit to Address the Military Coup in Sudan

May 27, 2022

Sudan has been on a trajectory of potential state collapse since the military’s coup d’état last year, which ended the country’s internationally-brokered, civilian-led transition. Senior Associate Cameron Hudson examines how the U.S-disregard of Sudan’s failed democratic transition poses a significant threat for America and its allies, and outlines potential tools of engagement to ensure peaceful democratization and stabilized security in the region. 

Read the commentary

Photo: CSIS iDEASLab

Sizing Up: Growing Fast Food Consumption in Urban Africa

May 10, 2022

What is the relationship between urbanization, fast food, and food security in Africa? CSIS's Mvemba Phezo Dizolele and Emmy Simmons talk with sustainable development lecturer James Boafo to discuss how fast food consumption is shaping the future of African cities in the newest edition of Talking Urban Futures in Africa.

Read the commentary

Past Events

Consolidating Democracy: A Candid Discussion with Kenyan Deputy President William Ruto

March 4, 2022

Kenyan democracy is at an inflection point. With the upcoming general elections, H.E. Deputy President William Ruto joins Mvemba to discuss the future of democracy in Kenya. Topics of conversation include threats to—and opportunities for—democracy, human security, the role of youth, and misinformation.
Watch the event

Spurring Private Investment in Africa

March 25, 2022

As African economies gradually recover from the Covid-19 pandemic, investment opportunities abound in agriculture, renewable energy, healthcare, telecommunications, information technology, education, and other key sectors. In this CSIS Africa expert panel on private investment in Africa, speakers take stock of the current business climate and explore practical ways to spur more investment.
Watch the event

Podcasts

The CSIS Africa Program hosts multiple podcasts monthly

Fearless music activists. Savvy tech entrepreneurs. Social disrupters. Into Africa shatters the narratives that dominate U.S. perceptions of Africa. Host Mvemba Phezo Dizolele, Africa program director at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington D.C., sits down with policymakers, journalists, academics and other trailblazers in African affairs to shine a spotlight on the faces spearheading cultural, political, and economic change on the continent.

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The Digital Future of African Development

May 26, 2022

What role does Africa's private sector play in the continent's inclusive growth? Cina Lawson, Minister of Digital Economy and Transformation in Togo, and Lucy Nshuti Mbabazi, Head of Africa Advocacy and Partnerships at The Better Than Cash Alliance, join Mvemba to discuss the rise of digital payments in Africa's spurred by COVID-19 restrictions. This episode explores the opportunities presented by the pandemic, the role of individual financial services, and how to drive the narrative away from a cash-strapped Africa and toward its leading mobile innovations.
 
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Tony Elumelu and Why “Africapitalism” Works

May 12, 2022

Mvemba is joined by African investor and philanthropist Tony Elumelu to discuss the Tony Elumelu Foundation’s work in empowering youth entrepreneurs across the continent. They talk about the philosophy of Africapitalism, how African governments can build robust enabling environments, and the importance of eradicating dependency syndrome.

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In the News

The Africa Program experts regularly share their insights on African current events with leading publications and special appearances in Washington, D.C., and around the world.

May 30, 2022

Inside the world’s worst monkeypox outbreak  

Read: article co-written by Will Brown in The Telegraph

May 26, 2022

Ethiopia’s civil war engulfs civilians in crisis

Read: Hilary Matfess cited in The Bay State Banner

May 26, 2022

Blinken calls China ‘most serious long-term’ threat to world order

Read: Lina Benabdallah quoted in Politico

May 23, 2022

Adesina takes aim at allegations of weak governance

Read: Hannah Ryder cited in African Business

May 20, 2022

Meet 'Yemi Adamolekun, the Global Citizen Prize Winner Fighting for Citizens’ Rights in Nigeria 

Read: Yemi Adamolekun awarded the Global Citizen Prize, Nigeria

May 19, 2022

The Turkey-Sized Roadblock to NATO Expansion

Read: Cameron Hudson mentioned in Foreign Policy

May 17, 2022

Politicians Seeking Dollars Drive Nigerian Naira to New Low

Read: Idayat Hassan quoted in Bloomberg

May 6, 2022

What does the UK's action against IPOB mean?

Read: Audu Bulama Bukarti interviewed for BBC News

 







 

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